State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy: The Central Bank Information Channel
Résumé
When the central bank and private agents do not share the same information, private agents may
not be able to appreciate whether monetary policy responds to changes in the macroeconomic
outlook or to changes in policy preferences. In this context, this paper investigates whether the
publication of the central bank macroeconomic information set modifies private agents’
interpretation of policy decisions. We find that the sign and magnitude of the effects of monetary
policy depend on the publication of policymakers’ macroeconomic views. Contractionary
monetary policy has negative effects on inflation expectations and stock prices only if associated
with inflationary news
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